Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Deusto vs Padura

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Lopez U.
53' Event
Urbina A.
61' Event
Erdozia O.

AI Match Summary

SD Deusto in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Deusto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SD Deusto
20%
Draws
51%
Padura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Padura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Deusto lately — more wins on the board than Padura.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 68%
Padura Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Deusto Padura
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.08 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Padura
4:0
Nov 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs SD Deusto
1:1
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs SD Deusto
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Padura
1:1
Mar 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Padura vs SD Deusto
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Deusto Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urbina A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Padura Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Deusto 42 / 100
Padura 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Deusto Padura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Padura has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

SD Deusto found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

SD Deusto has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Deusto VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Deusto

(Home)
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3
Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0
SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0
Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1
SD Deusto
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Padura

(Away)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
Derio
2 : 1
Padura
30 Apr
Eibar C
1 : 2
Padura
26 Apr
Portugalete
3 : 1
Padura
17 Apr
Padura
1 : 1
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)