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SD Ejea vs Atletico Calatayud

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2013/2014 game between SD Ejea and Atletico Calatayud finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Ejea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
SD Ejea
20%
Draws
10%
Atletico Calatayud
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Ejea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Ejea come out ahead of Atletico Calatayud on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on SD Ejea taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Calatayud Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ejea Atletico Calatayud
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 0.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
SD Ejea vs Atletico Calatayud
3:0
Dec 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs SD Ejea
1:0
Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs SD Ejea
1:0
Oct 7, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
SD Ejea vs Atletico Calatayud
1:0
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Calatayud vs SD Ejea
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ejea 85 / 100
Atletico Calatayud 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ejea Atletico Calatayud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ejea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Ejea's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Defensive concern: Atletico Calatayud conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: SD Ejea stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Atletico Calatayud has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Ejea VS Atletico Calatayud
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ejea

(Home)
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
13 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Belchite 97
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Calatayud

(Away)
04 Oct
Atletico Calatayud
1 : 4
Atletic Sant Just FC
27 Sept
Atletic Sant Just FC
3 : 0
Atletico Calatayud
11 May
Atletico Calatayud
0 : 0
Teruel
04 May
SD Ejea
3 : 0
Atletico Calatayud
01 May
Atletico Calatayud
1 : 2
Brea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza B 40 30 5 5 95:30 95
2 Teruel 40 23 9 8 56:41 78
3 SD Ejea 40 20 12 8 58:29 72
4 Almudevar 40 20 11 9 78:37 71
5 Atletico Monzon 40 20 11 9 65:48 71
6 Tarazona 40 20 10 10 67:52 70
7 Utebo FC 40 21 6 13 57:51 69
8 Borja 40 17 13 10 52:34 64
9 UD Barbastro 40 18 5 17 56:49 59
10 Andorra CF 40 15 12 13 44:42 57
11 Villanueva CF 40 15 12 13 57:47 57
12 Tamarite 39 15 8 16 52:63 53
13 Ebro 40 14 9 17 67:54 51
14 Sabinanigo 40 13 12 15 52:59 51
15 CF Illueca 40 14 7 19 40:51 49
16 CD Cuarte 40 12 12 16 47:53 48
17 Brea 40 11 6 23 39:76 39
18 Atletico Calatayud 40 10 8 22 46:79 38
19 Atletico Escalerillas 39 7 7 25 35:75 28
20 CD Altorricon 40 7 3 30 36:83 24
21 Oliver 40 5 6 29 35:81 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)