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SD Ejea vs CD Mallen Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 game between SD Ejea and CD Mallen finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Ejea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
SD Ejea
15%
Draws
0%
CD Mallen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Ejea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Ejea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SD Ejea's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and SD Ejea have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 20%
CD Mallen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ejea CD Mallen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 9 2
Losses 12 24
Goals Scored 1.1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
SD Ejea vs CD Mallen
5:0
Sep 5, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Mallen vs SD Ejea
1:3
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
SD Ejea vs CD Mallen
4:1
Feb 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
CD Mallen vs SD Ejea
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ejea 85 / 100
CD Mallen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ejea CD Mallen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ejea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Mallen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: CD Mallen has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

SD Ejea found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

SD Ejea VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ejea

(Home)
27 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Sietamo
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
13 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Belchite 97
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
Page 1 of 6

CD Mallen

(Away)
15 May
Villanueva CF
5 : 0
CD Mallen
08 May
CD Mallen
0 : 5
Andorra CF
30 Apr
CD Mallen
2 : 3
Atletico Calatayud
24 Apr
Atletico Monzon
4 : 1
CD Mallen
16 Apr
CD Mallen
0 : 4
Sarinena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 38 30 4 4 88:29 94
2 La Muela 38 28 6 4 73:24 90
3 Zaragoza B 38 27 3 8 96:33 84
4 SD Ejea 38 27 3 8 104:35 84
5 Atletico Monzon 38 25 6 7 77:42 81
6 Andorra CF 38 25 4 9 79:38 79
7 Sabinanigo 38 15 7 16 53:60 52
8 CD Villanueva 38 13 9 16 63:63 48
9 Utebo FC 38 13 9 16 57:64 48
10 Valdefierro 38 14 4 20 46:63 46
11 Giner Torrero 38 13 5 20 44:78 44
12 Sarinena 38 11 10 17 36:61 43
13 UD Barbastro 38 12 5 21 41:72 41
14 CD Tauste 38 11 6 21 43:61 39
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 9 11 18 46:56 38
16 CD Mallen 38 10 5 23 37:58 35
17 CD Cuarte 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
18 Alcaniz CF 38 9 7 22 55:86 34
19 Fraga 38 10 4 24 47:87 34
20 CF Jacetano 38 8 6 24 34:74 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)