Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015

Amurrio Club

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Erandio play Amurrio Club in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, SD Erandio averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Amurrio Club averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, SD Erandio won 0, Amurrio Club won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2015 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for SD Erandio and 0.93 for Amurrio Club. This points to a Amurrio Club double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

SD Erandio

22%

Draws

60%

Amurrio Club

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Amurrio Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Amurrio Club has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SD Erandio.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Amurrio Club.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

SD Erandio Clean Sheet 20%

Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Erandio	Amurrio Club
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	8
Draws	4	10
Losses	21	14
Goals Scored	0	0.75
Goals Conceded	0	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Amurrio Club vs SD Erandio

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 4 - 3

2:2

Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

SD Erandio vs Amurrio Club

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 0 - 2

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Erandio 20 / 100

Amurrio Club 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Erandio Amurrio Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Erandio scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Amurrio Club let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

SD Erandio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Amurrio Club lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amurrio Club

0 Goals Scored 0.75

0 Goals Conceded 1.13

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	38	20	15	3	68:27	75
2	Gernika Club	38	21	12	5	54:21	75
3	Arenas Getxo	38	20	11	7	62:31	71
4	SCD Durango	38	20	7	11	43:30	67
5	Beasain	38	18	13	7	52:41	67
6	Zalla UC	38	18	12	8	50:36	66
7	Alaves B	38	16	10	12	52:41	58
8	Real Sociedad C	38	15	12	11	38:32	57
9	Balmaseda	38	16	7	15	43:37	55
10	Santurtzi	38	14	9	15	48:49	51
11	Zamudio	38	13	11	14	53:49	50
12	Aurrera de Vitoria	38	14	7	17	44:48	49
13	Santutxu FC	38	12	10	16	31:43	46
14	Bermeo	38	10	15	13	35:49	45
15	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	38:43	43
16	Basconia	38	10	12	16	44:57	42
17	Pasaia	38	10	8	20	35:49	38
18	SD Erandio	38	9	5	24	33:62	32
19	Oiartzun	38	5	11	22	24:55	26
20	Amurrio Club	38	5	9	24	25:72	24