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SD Erandio vs Real Union B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Caixas G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between SD Erandio and Real Union B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Union B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
SD Erandio
20%
Draws
36%
Real Union B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Erandio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Real Union B haven't matched SD Erandio's recent run of results.
  • SD Erandio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 11%
Real Union B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Erandio Real Union B
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 7 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Real Union B
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Erandio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Real Union B Compare

Top Goalscorer Caixas G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Erandio 56 / 100
Real Union B 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Erandio Real Union B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Erandio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Union B conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

SD Erandio found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

SD Erandio went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Erandio VS Real Union B
1.63 Goals Scored 1.17
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Erandio

(Home)
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
Page 1 of 6

Real Union B

(Away)
04 Oct
Real Union B
0 : 3
San Ignacio
27 Sept
Real Sociedad C
3 : 3
Real Union B
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
06 Sept
Real Union B
0 : 2
Sodupe

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 5 4 1 0 10:4 13
2 Derio 5 3 2 0 7:2 11
3 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
4 Leioa 5 2 3 0 12:6 9
5 Real Sociedad C 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
6 Touring KE 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
7 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
8 Alaves C 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
9 Lagun Onak 5 2 1 2 4:5 7
10 SCD Durango 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
11 SD Erandio 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 San Ignacio 5 1 2 2 8:7 5
13 Eibar C 5 1 2 2 8:8 5
14 Real Union B 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
15 Sodupe 5 1 2 2 4:9 5
16 Beasain 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
17 Santurtzi 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
18 Amurrio Club 5 0 1 4 1:12 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)