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SD Family vs FC Ekibastuz Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Zhas Kyran Stadium, Almaty
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Match Events

8'
Serikov N.
12'
Amirzhan A.
46'
Sub
Lunev I. In: Strizhkov N.
Out: Lunev I.

AI Match Summary

FC Ekibastuz in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SD Family
15%
Draws
85%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Ekibastuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz have won more games recently than SD Family.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SD Family taking it.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and FC Ekibastuz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
SD Family Clean Sheet 19%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Family FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 1.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs SD Family
3:2
Jul 3, 2025 First League
SD Family vs FC Ekibastuz
0:1
Oct 4, 2024 First League
SD Family vs FC Ekibastuz
0:3
Jun 21, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs SD Family
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Family Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurlan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Family 42 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Family FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Difficult form: FC Ekibastuz registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SD Family scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FC Ekibastuz
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Family

(Home)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
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FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
18 Sept
FC Astana 2
7 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
11 Sept
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 5
Tobol 2
03 Sept
Arys
3 : 1
FC Ekibastuz
27 Aug
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Turan
20 Aug
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 2
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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