Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Family vs FC Ekibastuz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Zhas Kyran Stadium, Almaty
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Serikov N.
12'
Amirzhan A.
46'
Sub
Lunev I. In: Strizhkov N.
Out: Lunev I.

AI Match Summary

FC Ekibastuz in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Ekibastuz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SD Family
6%
Draws
90%
FC Ekibastuz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FC Ekibastuz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Ekibastuz have won more games recently than SD Family.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on FC Ekibastuz taking it.
  • Regular First League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and FC Ekibastuz have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SD Family Clean Sheet 10%
FC Ekibastuz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Family FC Ekibastuz
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 8 10
Draws 2 6
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 4 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2025 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs SD Family
3:2
Jul 3, 2025 First League
SD Family vs FC Ekibastuz
0:1
Oct 4, 2024 First League
SD Family vs FC Ekibastuz
0:3
Jun 21, 2024 First League
FC Ekibastuz vs SD Family
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Family Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Ekibastuz Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurlan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Family 10 / 100
FC Ekibastuz 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Family FC Ekibastuz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Ekibastuz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: SD Family scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: FC Ekibastuz registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Family VS FC Ekibastuz
1 Goals Scored 0.75
4 Goals Conceded 1.75
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Family

(Home)
09 Apr
SD Family
:
Ertis Pavlodar
24 Oct
Kairat Almaty 2
5 : 1
SD Family
17 Oct
SD Family
2 : 7
Aktobe 2
02 Oct
FC Ekibastuz
3 : 2
SD Family
25 Sept
SD Family
2 : 7
Ertis Pavlodar
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FC Ekibastuz

(Away)
16 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
0 : 2
Shakhter Karagandy
10 Jul
FC Ekibastuz
2 : 4
Kairat Almaty 2
02 Jul
Khan Tengri
1 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
26 Jun
FC Ekibastuz
1 : 1
FC Astana 2
18 Jun
Tobol 2
3 : 3
FC Ekibastuz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaspij Aktau26222274:2768
2Ertis Pavlodar26194371:2061
3Altai26174554:2355
4Shakhter Karagandy26165561:3453
5Zhetisay261331044:3542
6Kairat Almaty 2261241058:4240
7Akademiya Ontustik261231144:4439
8Taraz261051143:3835
9AKAS261031342:3933
10FC Ekibastuz26841436:6028
11SD Family26721733:7523
12Khan Tengri26531827:5518
13Aktobe 226371634:6516
14Turkistan26232116:809
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