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SD Logrones vs Alfaro

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Jimenez I.
70' Event
Aguinaga P.
86' Event
Perez A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between SD Logrones and Alfaro finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alfaro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SD Logrones
35%
Draws
32%
Alfaro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • SD Logrones haven't matched Alfaro's recent run of results.
  • SD Logrones are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SD Logrones here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SD Logrones Clean Sheet 20%
Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Logrones Alfaro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 0.66 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs SD Logrones
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Alfaro
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
SD Logrones vs Alfaro
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Alfaro
4:1
Oct 20, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alfaro vs SD Logrones
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguinaga P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Perez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Logrones 67 / 100
Alfaro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Logrones Alfaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Alfaro conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

SD Logrones went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Alfaro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Logrones VS Alfaro
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Logrones

(Home)
20 Sept
SD Logrones
2 : 2
Girona B
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Sept
SD Logrones
1 : 2
Espanyol B
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
01 Aug
SD Logrones
0 : 0
Osasuna B
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Alfaro

(Away)
20 Sept
Alfaro
1 : 2
Haro Deportivo
13 Sept
Alfaro
2 : 1
Yague
06 Sept
Calasancio
2 : 2
Alfaro
07 Aug
Alfaro
0 : 4
Tudelano
01 May
Real Union
2 : 0
Alfaro
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