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SD Logrones vs Utebo FC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Las Gaunas, Logroño
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Fernandez A.
Own Goal
49' Event
Marin D.
82' Event
San Martin D.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between SD Logrones and Utebo FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utebo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
SD Logrones
35%
Draws
41%
Utebo FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Utebo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Utebo FC come out ahead of SD Logrones on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Utebo FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SD Logrones Clean Sheet 20%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Logrones Utebo FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.62 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs SD Logrones
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Utebo FC
1:2
Oct 11, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs SD Logrones
3:2
May 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs SD Logrones
2:1
Dec 22, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Utebo FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer San Martin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Marin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Logrones 32 / 100
Utebo FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Logrones Utebo FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Utebo FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

SD Logrones went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SD Logrones scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Logrones VS Utebo FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Logrones

(Home)
27 Sept
SD Logrones
0 : 2
Olot
20 Sept
SD Logrones
2 : 2
Girona B
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Sept
SD Logrones
1 : 2
Espanyol B
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
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Utebo FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Utebo FC
0 : 1
Reus FC Reddis
19 Sept
Olot
1 : 2
Utebo FC
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)