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SD Negreira vs CD Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SD Negreira in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Negreira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
SD Negreira
11%
Draws
9%
CD Castro
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • SD Negreira have won more games recently than CD Castro.
  • Model gives SD Negreira a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 20%
CD Castro Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Negreira CD Castro
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs CD Castro
1:0
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
CD Castro vs SD Negreira
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Negreira 76 / 100
CD Castro 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Negreira CD Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Castro let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

SD Negreira scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: CD Castro has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Negreira VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Negreira

(Home)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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CD Castro

(Away)
14 May
Celtiga
3 : 0
CD Castro
07 May
CD Castro
0 : 1
Ribadumia
30 Apr
Deportivo Fabril
4 : 1
CD Castro
23 Apr
CD Castro
1 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
16 Apr
SD Negreira
1 : 0
CD Castro
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