Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Negreira vs Dubra SD

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SD Negreira
15%
Draws
34%
Dubra SD
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Negreira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SD Negreira have won more games recently than Dubra SD.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on SD Negreira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 20%
Dubra SD Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Negreira Dubra SD
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Dubra SD
3:3
Dec 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Dubra SD vs SD Negreira
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Negreira 58 / 100
Dubra SD 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Negreira Dubra SD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Negreira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dubra SD conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

SD Negreira's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Dubra SD's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Negreira VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Negreira

(Home)
28 Oct
SD Negreira
0 : 3
Real Sociedad
04 Oct
SD Negreira
4 : 0
Textil Escudo
27 Sept
Textil Escudo
2 : 1
SD Negreira
13 May
Barco
5 : 2
SD Negreira
06 May
SD Negreira
2 : 1
Somozas
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Dubra SD

(Away)
14 May
Deportivo Fabril
2 : 0
Dubra SD
07 May
Dubra SD
3 : 2
Barbadas-Bentraces
30 Apr
SD Negreira
3 : 3
Dubra SD
23 Apr
Dubra SD
0 : 3
Cerceda
13 Apr
CD Choco
2 : 0
Dubra SD
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