Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012

Arenas De Frajanas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Noja play Arenas De Frajanas in the Tercera Division - Group 3 2011/2012. It looks like a close match. Recently, SD Noja averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Arenas De Frajanas averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, SD Noja won 4, Arenas De Frajanas won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2012 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for SD Noja and 1.44 for Arenas De Frajanas. This points to a Arenas De Frajanas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

SD Noja

15%

Draws

43%

Arenas De Frajanas

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arenas De Frajanas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

SD Noja picked up more points recently compared to Arenas De Frajanas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

SD Noja Clean Sheet 16%

Arenas De Frajanas Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Noja	Arenas De Frajanas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	4	7
Draws	5	6
Losses	21	17
Goals Scored	0.7	0.9
Goals Conceded	2.03	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs Arenas De Frajanas

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sep 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Arenas De Frajanas vs SD Noja

Possession: 43% - 59% Cards: 2 - 4

0:9

May 1, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Arenas De Frajanas vs SD Noja

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs Arenas De Frajanas

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 41 / 100

Arenas De Frajanas 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Noja Arenas De Frajanas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Arenas De Frajanas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SD Noja attacking → ← attacking Arenas De Frajanas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Noja scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Arenas De Frajanas let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

SD Noja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Arenas De Frajanas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 27

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SD Noja	38	27	6	5	102:30	87
2	CD Laredo	38	26	7	5	85:40	85
3	Rayo Cantabria	38	22	12	4	91:30	78
4	Cayon CD	38	23	9	6	58:36	78
5	CD Tropezon	38	23	6	9	84:43	75
6	UM Escobedo	38	20	8	10	63:50	68
7	CD Siete Villas	38	19	8	11	61:49	65
8	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	16	11	11	75:53	59
9	Barreda Balompie	38	13	11	14	58:60	50
10	Castro	38	14	6	18	62:63	48
11	Guarnizo	38	11	12	15	59:58	45
12	Vimenor	38	13	6	19	45:65	45
13	Pontejos	38	10	11	17	50:65	41
14	Ribamontan al Mar	38	10	10	18	41:71	40
15	Bezana	38	9	11	18	43:66	38
16	Atletico Albericia	38	9	11	18	50:69	38
17	San Martin Arena	38	10	4	24	44:68	34
18	Buelna	38	8	9	21	36:76	33
19	CD Barquereno	38	7	8	23	35:72	29
20	Arenas De Frajanas	38	5	4	29	30:108	19