Sport Picks
SD Noja vs Atletico Albericia
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 
Match Events
36'
36'
Setien L.
39'
39'
Rincon M.
43'
43'
Perez Pascual M.
AI Match Summary
Atletico Albericia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Albericia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Noja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Atletico Albericia have won more games recently than SD Noja.
- Model gives Atletico Albericia a 23% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SD Noja | Atletico Albericia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Atletico Albericia
2:5
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs SD Noja
0:1
Feb 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Atletico Albericia
1:2
Oct 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs SD Noja
2:2
May 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Atletico Albericia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SD Noja Compare
Top Goalscorer Perez Pascual M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hoya R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Atletico Albericia Compare
Top Goalscorer Rincon M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Setien L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SD Noja 26 / 100
Atletico Albericia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SD Noja Atletico Albericia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Albericia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Albericia let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Atletico Albericia lost 4 of their last 5 games.
SD Noja found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).
Scoring Trends
SD Noja VS Atletico Albericia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
SD Noja
(Home) 04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1 Ribadesella CF
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0 SD Noja
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2 UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0 SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1 CD Revilla
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
SD Noja
1 : 1 Ribadesella CF
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2 UC Cartes
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1 CD Revilla
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
29 Mar
SD Noja
1 : 3 CD Laredo
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Albericia
(Away) 03 Oct
CD Revilla
2 : 2 Atletico Albericia
27 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 Solares
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0 Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
Atletico Albericia
0 : 2 CD Laredo
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1 Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
CD Revilla
2 : 2 Atletico Albericia
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0 Atletico Albericia
05 Sept
Bezana
2 : 1 Atletico Albericia
03 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 2 Atletico Albericia
25 Apr
CD Laredo
3 : 1 Atletico Albericia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
