Sport Picks
Match Events
3'
3'
Bustamante A.
12'
12'
Rubi
57'
57'
Revuelta F. G.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between SD Noja and CD Colindres finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Colindres
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Colindres carry the better recent record into this one.
- CD Colindres are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and SD Noja have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%
CD Colindres Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SD Noja | CD Colindres |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 21 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Colindres
2:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs SD Noja
1:2
Apr 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Colindres
1:0
Dec 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Colindres vs SD Noja
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SD Noja Compare
Top Goalscorer Rubi
1 Goals Assists Leader Santin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
CD Colindres Compare
Top Goalscorer Bustamante A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Subisaga A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SD Noja 10 / 100
CD Colindres 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SD Noja CD Colindres
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Colindres Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.
CD Colindres has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Away concern: CD Colindres has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
SD Noja's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
SD Noja VS CD Colindres
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SD Noja
(Home) 09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2 UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0 SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1 CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1 SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2 UC Cartes
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1 CD Revilla
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
29 Mar
SD Noja
1 : 3 CD Laredo
15 Mar
SD Noja
0 : 1 Torina
Page 1 of 3
CD Colindres
(Away) 09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1 CD Colindres
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3 Bezana
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0 CD Colindres
19 Apr
CD Colindres
3 : 0 CD Barquereno
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 7
09 May
CD Laredo
2 : 1 CD Colindres
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0 CD Colindres
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
29 Mar
Cayon CD
1 : 2 CD Colindres
14 Mar
UM Escobedo
3 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 86:15 | 83 |
| 2 | CD Laredo | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 63:28 | 71 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 50:27 | 67 |
| 4 | Guarnizo | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 47:26 | 66 |
| 5 | UM Escobedo | 34 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 65:43 | 65 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 47:36 | 59 |
| 7 | Atletico Albericia | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:45 | 56 |
| 8 | Cayon CD | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 50:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Torina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 39:40 | 53 |
| 10 | Bezana | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 11 | Castro | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 44:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Selaya | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32:44 | 32 |
| 13 | CD Revilla | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 35:63 | 31 |
| 14 | CD Barquereno | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 37:64 | 30 |
| 15 | UC Cartes | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 28:52 | 28 |
| 16 | CD Colindres | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:47 | 28 |
| 17 | CD Montanas del Pas | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:87 | 26 |
| 18 | SD Noja | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:68 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
