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SD Noja vs CD Montanas del Pas Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Revuelta I.
64' Event
Rubi
73' Event
Fernandez Martinez D.

AI Match Summary

SD Noja in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Noja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
SD Noja
20%
Draws
70%
CD Montanas del Pas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Montanas del Pas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • CD Montanas del Pas have won more games recently than SD Noja.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on CD Montanas del Pas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%
CD Montanas del Pas Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Noja CD Montanas del Pas
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.66 1.03
Goals Conceded 2 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CD Montanas del Pas
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CD Montanas del Pas vs SD Noja
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Noja Compare

Top Goalscorer Revuelta I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rubi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

CD Montanas del Pas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 14 / 100
CD Montanas del Pas 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Noja CD Montanas del Pas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Montanas del Pas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Montanas del Pas conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: SD Noja scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

SD Noja went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Noja VS CD Montanas del Pas
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Noja

(Home)
26 Sept
Ribadesella CF
1 : 0
SD Noja
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
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CD Montanas del Pas

(Away)
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7
UM Escobedo
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
25 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
CD Montanas del Pas
1 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)