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SD Noja vs SD Revilla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Busacca C.

AI Match Summary

SD Revilla in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Revilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SD Noja
6%
Draws
90%
SD Revilla
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SD Revilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Revilla lately — more wins on the board than SD Noja.
  • Win probability leans SD Revilla's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 15%
SD Revilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Noja SD Revilla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs SD Revilla
0:1
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Revilla vs SD Noja
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

SD Revilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Busacca C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 10 / 100
SD Revilla 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Noja SD Revilla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Revilla let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

SD Noja's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: SD Noja stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Noja VS SD Revilla
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819