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SD Noja vs Torina

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Ruiz D.

AI Match Summary

Torina in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
SD Noja
35%
Draws
55%
Torina
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Torina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Torina have won more games recently than SD Noja.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Torina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Torina have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%
Torina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Noja Torina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Torina
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs SD Noja
2:0
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Torina vs SD Noja
4:0
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Torina
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Torina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 10 / 100
Torina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Noja Torina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Torina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

SD Noja's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

SD Noja has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Noja VS Torina
0.5 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Noja

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

Torina

(Away)
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
09 May
Torina
2 : 0
CD Revilla
03 May
Guarnizo
2 : 2
Torina
25 Apr
Torina
2 : 0
CD Colindres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)