Sport Picks

Australia

NPL NSW Ernie Smith Reserve

SD Raiders

1 - 3

Blacktown City

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Major T.

(Penalty)

38'

Jackson-Brown C.

61'

Marcic M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Blacktown City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacktown City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

SD Raiders

20%

Draws

38%

Blacktown City

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

SD Raiders have won more games recently than Blacktown City.
SD Raiders are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Blacktown City here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

SD Raiders Clean Sheet 20%

Blacktown City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Raiders	Blacktown City
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	14	7
Draws	6	9
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.13	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NPL NSW

SD Raiders vs Blacktown City

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Mar 29, 2026 NPL NSW

Blacktown City vs SD Raiders

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Jan 22, 2022 Club Friendly

Blacktown City vs SD Raiders

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcic M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Blacktown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson-Brown C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader O'Brien N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 42 / 100

Blacktown City 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Raiders Blacktown City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Raiders scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Blacktown City let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

SD Raiders has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS Blacktown City

1.13 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	23	17	4	2	45:14	55
2	APIA Leichhardt	23	16	3	4	47:27	51
3	Sydney Utd	23	15	3	5	34:17	48
4	Rockdale Ilinden	23	11	3	9	36:32	36
5	Sutherland Sharks	23	11	2	10	36:30	35
6	Sydney FC U23	24	10	5	9	32:34	35
7	Wollongong	23	9	5	9	26:29	32
8	NWS Spirit	23	9	4	10	27:27	31
9	Manly Utd	24	8	7	9	25:29	31
10	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	23	8	5	10	42:34	29
11	UNSW	23	8	4	11	32:35	28
12	SD Raiders	23	7	5	11	30:39	26
13	St. George City	23	6	7	10	22:37	25
14	Blacktown City	23	5	7	11	30:39	22
15	St George Saints	23	6	1	16	22:39	19
16	Sydney Olympic	23	5	3	15	25:49	18