Sport Picks
SD Raiders vs Blacktown City Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
NPL NSW Ernie Smith Reserve, Sydney 
Match Events
14'
14'
Major T.
(Penalty)
38'
38'
Jackson-Brown C.
61'
61'
Marcic M.
AI Match Summary
Blacktown City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blacktown City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Raiders
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- SD Raiders have won more games recently than Blacktown City.
- SD Raiders are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Blacktown City here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 16%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SD Raiders | Blacktown City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Blacktown City
1:3
Mar 29, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs SD Raiders
1:2
Jan 22, 2022 Club Friendly
Blacktown City vs SD Raiders
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SD Raiders Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Blacktown City Compare
Top Goalscorer Jackson-Brown C.
1 Goals Assists Leader O'Brien N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SD Raiders 39 / 100
Blacktown City 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SD Raiders Blacktown City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
SD Raiders scored in 78% of their last 32 games.
Blacktown City has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Difficult form: Blacktown City registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SD Raiders VS Blacktown City
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
SD Raiders
(Home) 30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1 Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1 SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 7
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1 Sydney FC
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Macarthur FC
08 Aug
SD Raiders
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
25 Jul
SD Raiders
2 : 1 Marconi Stallions
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
Page 1 of 4
Blacktown City
(Away) 30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0 UNSW
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0 Blacktown City
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1 Blacktown City
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2 Blacktown City
11 Jul
SD Raiders
1 : 3 Blacktown City
28 Jun
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0 Blacktown City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
