Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Raiders vs Sutherland Sharks

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Ernie Smith Reserve, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Fernandez M.
10' Event
Gan B.
72' Event
Olsen N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SD Raiders
15%
Draws
34%
Sutherland Sharks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sutherland Sharks at 1.57 per game, SD Raiders at 1.47.
  • Win probability leans SD Raiders's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
SD Raiders Clean Sheet 14%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Raiders Sutherland Sharks
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders
1:2
May 16, 2026 NPL NSW
SD Raiders vs Sutherland Sharks
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Gan B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olsen N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 39 / 100
Sutherland Sharks 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Raiders Sutherland Sharks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Raiders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutherland Sharks let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: SD Raiders scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Sutherland Sharks registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS Sutherland Sharks
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Raiders

(Home)
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0
SD Raiders
18 Aug
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC
15 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 1
SD Raiders
11 Aug
SD Raiders
2 : 1
Macarthur FC
Page 1 of 6

Sutherland Sharks

(Away)
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)