Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017

Gurupi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta play Gurupi in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Gurupi averaged 1.2 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, SD Sparta won 2, Gurupi won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 9, 2018 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for SD Sparta and 1.13 for Gurupi. This points to a SD Sparta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

SD Sparta

34%

Draws

28%

Gurupi

Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

SD Sparta picked up more points recently compared to Gurupi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 21%

Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Sparta	Gurupi
Matches Played	33	41
Wins	14	15
Draws	7	14
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	1.36	1.2
Goals Conceded	1.03	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2018 Tocantinense

Gurupi vs SD Sparta

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 1 - 4

1:2

Apr 3, 2018 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Gurupi

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

3:3

Apr 29, 2017 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Gurupi

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Apr 22, 2017 Tocantinense

Gurupi vs SD Sparta

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 3 - 3

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 38 / 100

Gurupi 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Sparta Gurupi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SD Sparta or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SD Sparta attacking → ← attacking Gurupi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Gurupi let in goals in 61% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

SD Sparta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Gurupi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 59

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88