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SD Sparta vs Gurupi

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
SD Sparta
35%
Draws
35%
Gurupi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gurupi come out ahead of SD Sparta on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Gurupi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Gurupi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Gurupi
Matches Played 33 41
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 14
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2018 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs SD Sparta
1:2
Apr 3, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Gurupi
3:3
Apr 29, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Gurupi
1:1
Apr 22, 2017 Tocantinense
Gurupi vs SD Sparta
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 32 / 100
Gurupi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Gurupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Gurupi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 41 matches.

SD Sparta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Gurupi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
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Gurupi

(Away)
21 Mar
Uniao Carmolandense
1 : 1
Gurupi
14 Mar
Gurupi
1 : 2
Uniao Carmolandense
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
21 Feb
Gurupi
0 : 2
Tocantinopolis
14 Feb
Gurupi
5 : 0
Bela Vista-TO
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 2
Interporto 2
Gurupi 1
SD Sparta 5
Final
Interporto 4
SD Sparta 0