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SD Sparta vs Interporto

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Interporto advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SD Sparta
35%
Draws
30%
Interporto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SD Sparta come out ahead of Interporto on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on SD Sparta taking it.
  • SD Sparta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Interporto, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Interporto have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 15%
Interporto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Interporto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2020 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
1:0
Jun 5, 2018 Tocantinense
Interporto vs SD Sparta
3:1
Apr 25, 2018 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
1:2
May 13, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Interporto
0:2
May 6, 2017 Tocantinense
Interporto vs SD Sparta
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 35 / 100
Interporto 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Interporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Interporto let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

SD Sparta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Interporto
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
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Interporto

(Away)
15 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 1
Interporto
09 Nov
Interporto
1 : 3
Guarai SC
01 Nov
Interporto
6 : 0
Taquarussu
18 Oct
Palmas
1 : 1
Interporto
11 Oct
Interporto
0 : 0
Alvorada
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Tocantinopolis 2
Interporto 2
Gurupi 1
SD Sparta 5
Final
Interporto 4
SD Sparta 0