Sport Picks

Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017

Tocantins

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta play Tocantins in the Campeonato Tocantinense 2017. SD Sparta are favorites here. Recently, SD Sparta averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Tocantins averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, SD Sparta won 2, Tocantins won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2017 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for SD Sparta and 0.50 for Tocantins. This points to a SD Sparta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%

SD Sparta

19%

Draws

18%

Tocantins

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

SD Sparta picked up more points recently compared to Tocantins.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

SD Sparta Clean Sheet 31%

Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Sparta	Tocantins
Matches Played	33	37
Wins	14	8
Draws	7	7
Losses	12	22
Goals Scored	1.36	0.73
Goals Conceded	1.03	2.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tocantinense

Tocantins vs SD Sparta

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Mar 25, 2017 Tocantinense

SD Sparta vs Tocantins

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 63 / 100

Tocantins 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Sparta Tocantins

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (1)

Secondary Pick SD Sparta & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.82

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SD Sparta attacking → ← attacking Tocantins

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Tocantins let in goals in 81% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

SD Sparta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tocantins lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 31

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Interporto	6	3	2	1	7:3	11
2	Gurupi	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
3	Paraiso EC	6	2	3	1	5:4	9
4	Capital FC	6	0	2	4	7:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SD Sparta	6	4	2	0	13:4	14
2	Tocantinopolis	6	3	2	1	10:7	11
3	Tocantins	6	2	1	3	7:8	7
4	Colinas	6	0	1	5	4:15	1