Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SD Sparta vs Tocantins

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2017
SD Sparta Logo

SD Sparta

3 - 1
FT
Tocantins Logo

Tocantins

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SD Sparta in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Sparta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
SD Sparta
35%
Draws
9%
Tocantins
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SD Sparta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SD Sparta lately — more wins on the board than Tocantins.
  • SD Sparta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SD Sparta Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantins Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Sparta Tocantins
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.2 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2017 Tocantinense
Tocantins vs SD Sparta
0:1
Mar 25, 2017 Tocantinense
SD Sparta vs Tocantins
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Sparta 85 / 100
Tocantins 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Sparta Tocantins

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Sparta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Sparta's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tocantins has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SD Sparta remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Sparta VS Tocantins
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Sparta

(Home)
04 Dec
Bela Vista-TO
1 : 1
SD Sparta
30 Nov
SD Sparta
0 : 1
Bela Vista-TO
23 Nov
SD Sparta
1 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
16 Nov
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 1
SD Sparta
09 Nov
Araguacema
1 : 1
SD Sparta
Page 1 of 6

Tocantins

(Away)
01 Nov
Guarai SC
3 : 0
Tocantins
25 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
11 Oct
Central Tocantinense
3 : 0
Tocantins
04 Oct
Tocantins
0 : 3
Paraiso EC
15 Mar
Tocantins
1 : 1
Gurupi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Interporto 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
2 Gurupi 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Paraiso EC 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 Capital FC 6 0 2 4 7:12 2
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Sparta 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Tocantinopolis 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Tocantins 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
4 Colinas 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2017 (Play Offs)