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SD Tenisca vs CD Marino

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
Diassy Y.
77' Event
Valiente F. P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between SD Tenisca and CD Marino finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SD Tenisca
20%
Draws
16%
CD Marino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Tenisca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Marino come out ahead of SD Tenisca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SD Tenisca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
SD Tenisca Clean Sheet 20%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Tenisca CD Marino
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 15
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs CD Marino
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs SD Tenisca
5:1
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs SD Tenisca
3:0
Dec 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
SD Tenisca vs CD Marino
0:0
Feb 2, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs SD Tenisca
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Tenisca Compare

Top Goalscorer Diassy Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer Valiente F. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Tenisca 85 / 100
CD Marino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Tenisca CD Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Tenisca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Marino let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Marino's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: SD Tenisca scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Tenisca VS CD Marino
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Tenisca

(Home)
10 May
Tamaraceite
5 : 1
SD Tenisca
03 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Herbania
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
19 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1
Panaderia
12 Apr
Telde
2 : 1
SD Tenisca
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CD Marino

(Away)
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1
CD Marino
26 Jul
CD Marino
0 : 6
Tenerife
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
01 May
Villa Santa Brigida
3 : 0
CD Marino
26 Apr
CD Marino
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)