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SE Vila Aurora U20 vs Uniao Rondonopolis U20

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Matogrossense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SE Vila Aurora U20 play Uniao Rondonopolis U20 in the Matogrossense U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, SE Vila Aurora U20 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3 conceded. Uniao Rondonopolis U20 averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, SE Vila Aurora U20 won 1, Uniao Rondonopolis U20 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for SE Vila Aurora U20 and 2.44 for Uniao Rondonopolis U20. This points to a Uniao Rondonopolis U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SE Vila Aurora U20
15%
Draws
50%
Uniao Rondonopolis U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • SE Vila Aurora U20 picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Rondonopolis U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 2.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
SE Vila Aurora U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SE Vila Aurora U20 Uniao Rondonopolis U20
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 3 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Matogrossense U20
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 vs SE Vila Aurora U20
3:2
Jun 2, 2026 Matogrossense U20
SE Vila Aurora U20 vs Uniao Rondonopolis U20
4:0
Aug 9, 2025 Matogrossense U20
SE Vila Aurora U20 vs Uniao Rondonopolis U20
0:4
Jul 12, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 vs SE Vila Aurora U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SE Vila Aurora U20 34 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SE Vila Aurora U20 Uniao Rondonopolis U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Uniao Rondonopolis U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SE Vila Aurora U20 attacking → ← attacking Uniao Rondonopolis U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SE Vila Aurora U20 scored in 50% of their last 12 games.

Uniao Rondonopolis U20 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

SE Vila Aurora U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Rondonopolis U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 40
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
3.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Uirapuru U20650110:315
2Uniao Rondonopolis U20640213:812
3SE Vila Aurora U20630313:59
4Academia U2060061:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cacerense U20440017:312
2Santa Cruz MT U2041123:84
3Campo Novo U2040133:121
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cuiaba U20660031:318
2Paulistano FC U2063037:89
3Chapada U2061144:114
4Acao U2061141:214
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sport Sinop U20532013:811
2Luverdense U2051319:116
3Gremio Sorriso U2051227:75
4Sorriso EC U2051136:94