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Sea Hawks vs Red Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
10:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sea Hawks host Red Star in the Super League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Red Star have shipped 1.54 goals a game lately, while Sea Hawks have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.86. Past meetings favor Sea Hawks slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.56 - 0.94) back Sea Hawks to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sea Hawks
35%
Draws
32%
Red Star
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Red Star haven't matched Sea Hawks's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sea Hawks here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 20%
Red Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks Red Star
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.86 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Red Star
1:0
Dec 28, 2021 Super League
Sea Hawks vs Red Star
2:1
Nov 25, 2018 Super League
Red Star vs Sea Hawks
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 32 / 100
Red Star 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks Red Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sea Hawks scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Sea Hawks stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Red Star conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS Red Star
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sea Hawks

(Home)
15 Sept
Blue Eagles
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
07 Sept
New Young's SC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
17 Aug
Defenders FC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
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Red Star

(Away)
12 Sept
Red Star
2 : 2
Colombo
06 Sept
Ratnam SC
0 : 3
Red Star
30 Aug
Red Star
5 : 1
Defenders FC
24 Aug
Red Star
1 : 0
Blue Eagles
15 Aug
Renown
0 : 0
Red Star
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