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Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Super League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Jude N.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Sea Hawks and UP Country Lions finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UP Country Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sea Hawks
20%
Draws
46%
UP Country Lions
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UP Country Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sea Hawks haven't matched UP Country Lions's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UP Country Lions's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sea Hawks Clean Sheet 10%
UP Country Lions Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sea Hawks UP Country Lions
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 1
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.85 2.55
Goals Conceded 0.96 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
0:1
Dec 6, 2021 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
0:3
Jan 27, 2019 Super League
Sea Hawks vs UP Country Lions
2:1
Oct 1, 2017 Super League
UP Country Lions vs Sea Hawks
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sea Hawks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

UP Country Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Jude N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sea Hawks 10 / 100
UP Country Lions 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sea Hawks UP Country Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UP Country Lions Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sea Hawks found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sea Hawks remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

UP Country Lions let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sea Hawks VS UP Country Lions
1.88 Goals Scored 3.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sea Hawks

(Home)
15 Sept
Blue Eagles
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
07 Sept
New Young's SC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
31 Aug
Sea Hawks
1 : 1
Colombo
25 Aug
Sea Hawks
2 : 2
Renown
17 Aug
Defenders FC
0 : 2
Sea Hawks
Page 1 of 6

UP Country Lions

(Away)
11 Oct
Blue Star
3 : 5
UP Country Lions
13 Sept
Renown
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
08 Sept
Colombo
0 : 2
UP Country Lions
28 Aug
UP Country Lions
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
22 Aug
UP Country Lions
6 : 0
New Young's SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UP Country Lions 9 9 0 0 35:3 27
2 Sea Hawks 9 5 3 1 17:4 18
3 Colombo 9 4 4 1 14:5 16
4 Renown 9 4 3 2 21:8 15
5 Red Star 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
6 Blue Star 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
7 Blue Eagles 9 3 1 5 8:12 10
8 Defenders FC 9 2 1 6 11:17 7
9 New Young's SC 9 1 2 6 7:36 5
10 Ratnam SC 9 0 0 9 5:35 0
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)