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Seattle Reign W vs Gotham FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Shaw J.
24' Event
Shaw J.
Assist: McCaskill S.
46'
Sub
Adames E. In: Mercado M.
Out: Adames E.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Seattle Reign W and Gotham FC W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gotham FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Seattle Reign W
39%
Draws
30%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gotham FC W come out ahead of Seattle Reign W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 17%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seattle Reign W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign W
3:2
May 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Gotham FC W
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Seattle Reign W
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Gotham FC W
1:1
Sep 17, 2024 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Gotham FC W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seattle Reign W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davidson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seattle Reign W 31 / 100
Gotham FC W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seattle Reign W Gotham FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seattle Reign W found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Gotham FC W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Seattle Reign W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seattle Reign W VS Gotham FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Seattle Reign W

(Home)
26 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2
Seattle Reign W
18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2
Seattle Reign W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0
Portland Thorns FC W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1
Seattle Reign W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1
Seattle Reign W
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Gotham FC W

(Away)
25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2
Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2
Seattle Reign W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0
Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 3
Gotham FC W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Washington Spirit W16103325:1233
2Gotham FC W1694321:1231
3Utah Royals W1693426:1730
4San Diego Wave W1792623:1929
5Portland Thorns FC W1784527:2028
6Kansas City Current W1681723:2325
7Orlando Pride W1772822:2123
8Angel City W1571723:1622
9North Carolina Courage W1563621:2321
10Seattle Reign W1562717:1920
11Denver Summit W1554621:2019
12Houston Dash W1654719:2419
13Boston Legacy W1754818:2319
14Bay FC W1553716:2018
15Chicago Stars W1640128:3112
16Racing Louisville W15321018:2811
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)