Sport Picks
Seattle Reign W vs Portland Thorns FC W
USA
NWSL Women Lumen Field, Seattle, WA 
Match Events
8'
8'
Brown R.
Assist: McCammon A.
43'
43'
Mercado M.
Assist: Meza S.
55'
55'
Sub
Immethun J. In: Bogere C.
Out: Immethun J.
AI Match Summary
Seattle Reign W in this NWSL Women matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Seattle Reign W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Seattle Reign W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Portland Thorns FC W have won more games recently than Seattle Reign W.
- Model gives Seattle Reign W a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular NWSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Seattle Reign W Clean Sheet 13%
Portland Thorns FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Seattle Reign W | Portland Thorns FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 12, 2026 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Portland Thorns FC W
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Seattle Reign W
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 NWSL Women
Portland Thorns FC W vs Seattle Reign W
4:2
Apr 19, 2025 NWSL Women
Seattle Reign W vs Portland Thorns FC W
1:0
Aug 1, 2024 NWSL x Liga MX Women Summer Cup
Portland Thorns FC W vs Seattle Reign W
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Seattle Reign W Compare
Top Goalscorer Brown R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mercado M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Portland Thorns FC W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Seattle Reign W 35 / 100
Portland Thorns FC W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Seattle Reign W Portland Thorns FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Seattle Reign W's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Portland Thorns FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Portland Thorns FC W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Seattle Reign W VS Portland Thorns FC W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Seattle Reign W
(Home) 26 Jul
San Diego Wave W
0 : 2 Seattle Reign W
18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2 Seattle Reign W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
04 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
3 : 1 Seattle Reign W
30 May
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1 Seattle Reign W
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
16 May
Seattle Reign W
0 : 2 Gotham FC W
10 May
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1 Washington Spirit W
27 Apr
Seattle Reign W
0 : 3 Utah Royals W
05 Apr
Seattle Reign W
0 : 0 Denver Summit W
Page 1 of 3
Portland Thorns FC W
(Away) 25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2 Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
05 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
4 : 0 Racing Louisville W
28 Jun
Portland Thorns FC W
3 : 4 San Diego Wave W
Page 1 of 7
18 Jul
Denver Summit W
2 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
12 Jul
Seattle Reign W
2 : 0 Portland Thorns FC W
24 May
Kansas City Current W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
08 May
Racing Louisville W
3 : 1 Portland Thorns FC W
03 May
Chicago Stars W
0 : 2 Portland Thorns FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gotham FC W | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 21:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Washington Spirit W | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Utah Royals W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26:17 | 30 |
| 4 | San Diego Wave W | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 23:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Portland Thorns FC W | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current W | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:23 | 25 |
| 7 | Orlando Pride W | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 22:21 | 23 |
| 8 | Angel City W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22:14 | 22 |
| 9 | North Carolina Courage W | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 10 | Seattle Reign W | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Denver Summit W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Houston Dash W | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 13 | Boston Legacy W | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Bay FC W | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars W | 16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 8:31 | 12 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16:27 | 8 |
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)
