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Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Seattle Sounders host CF Montreal in the MLS. Little to choose between these two on current form. Seattle Sounders have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.46 conceded recently, against CF Montreal's 1.53 scored and 1.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Seattle Sounders have won 1 to CF Montreal's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 7, 2024, ending 5:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 1.00) point toward Seattle Sounders. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Seattle Sounders
15%
Draws
27%
CF Montreal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: CF Montreal at 1.53 per game, Seattle Sounders at 1.43.
  • Model gives Seattle Sounders a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 20%
CF Montreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seattle Sounders CF Montreal
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal
5:0
Jun 30, 2022 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal
1:2
May 28, 2020 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal
0:0
Jun 5, 2019 MLS
CF Montreal vs Seattle Sounders
2:1
Apr 1, 2018 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seattle Sounders 85 / 100
CF Montreal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seattle Sounders CF Montreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Seattle Sounders Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Montreal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Seattle Sounders stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Seattle Sounders scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Seattle Sounders VS CF Montreal
2 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Seattle Sounders

(Home)
10 Oct
New England Revolution
0 : 3
Seattle Sounders
02 Oct
Seattle Sounders
2 : 1
Sporting Kansas City
27 Sept
Seattle Sounders
3 : 1
Minnesota United
24 Sept
Seattle Sounders
2 : 0
Real Salt Lake
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids
3 : 3
Seattle Sounders
Page 1 of 6

CF Montreal

(Away)
10 Oct
Toronto FC
2 : 1
CF Montreal
26 Sept
CF Montreal
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati
19 Sept
CF Montreal
0 : 2
Columbus Crew
16 Sept
CF Montreal
2 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Sept
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
CF Montreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 61:30 51
2 St. Louis City 28 14 8 6 54:38 50
3 FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 52:45 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
5 Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 36:34 45
6 Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 44:31 42
7 Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 38:35 41
8 Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 39:39 37
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 39:50 36
10 Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 51:54 33
11 Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 41:46 32
12 San Diego FC 28 8 8 12 48:51 32
13 Austin FC 28 7 10 11 36:51 31
14 Minnesota United 28 7 9 12 42:51 30
15 Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 35:68 22
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 28 19 6 3 59:22 63
2 Inter Miami 28 13 10 5 68:50 49
3 Chicago Fire 28 14 6 8 51:40 48
4 New England Revolution 28 14 4 10 45:39 46
5 Charlotte FC 28 13 7 8 50:40 46
6 Philadelphia Union 28 12 6 10 56:45 42
7 Orlando City 28 11 4 13 51:66 37
8 New York Red Bulls 28 10 6 12 38:52 36
9 FC Cincinnati 27 9 9 9 58:65 36
10 New York City 28 8 9 11 42:38 33
11 Toronto FC 28 7 11 10 41:52 32
12 DC United 27 6 12 9 34:46 30
13 Columbus Crew 28 8 5 15 41:46 29
14 Atlanta United 28 7 6 15 33:48 27
15 CF Montreal 28 6 6 16 35:56 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)