Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers

USA USA

MLS Lumen Field
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
02:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Seattle Sounders host Portland Timbers in the MLS. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Seattle Sounders have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Portland Timbers's 1.88 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Seattle Sounders slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.50) point toward Seattle Sounders. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Seattle Sounders
40%
Draws
29%
Portland Timbers
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Seattle Sounders lately — more wins on the board than Portland Timbers.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 16%
Portland Timbers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seattle Sounders Portland Timbers
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers
1:0
May 18, 2025 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers
1:1
Sep 1, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
1:0
May 12, 2024 MLS
Portland Timbers vs Seattle Sounders
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seattle Sounders 31 / 100
Portland Timbers 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seattle Sounders Portland Timbers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Portland Timbers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Seattle Sounders found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Seattle Sounders has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Seattle Sounders VS Portland Timbers
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307