Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC

USA USA

MLS Lumen Field, Seattle, WA
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ingvartsen M.
Assist: Valakari O.
51'
Ferreira J.
56'
Brunell S.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Seattle Sounders and San Diego FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Seattle Sounders
6%
Draws
90%
San Diego FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Diego FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Seattle Sounders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on San Diego FC taking it.
  • Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 12%
San Diego FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seattle Sounders San Diego FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC
1:1
May 29, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs San Diego FC
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 MLS
San Diego FC vs Seattle Sounders
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seattle Sounders Compare

Top Goalscorer Musovski D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Diego FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingvartsen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seattle Sounders 10 / 100
San Diego FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seattle Sounders San Diego FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seattle Sounders's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Diego FC has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

San Diego FC's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Seattle Sounders VS San Diego FC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Seattle Sounders

(Home)
25 Jul
Philadelphia Union
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
23 Jul
Austin FC
3 : 1
Seattle Sounders
17 Jul
Seattle Sounders
1 : 5
Portland Timbers
25 May
Los Angeles FC
1 : 0
Seattle Sounders
17 May
Seattle Sounders
0 : 2
Los Angeles Galaxy
Page 1 of 6

San Diego FC

(Away)
26 Jul
San Diego FC
1 : 0
FC Dallas
23 Jul
Colorado Rapids
1 : 0
San Diego FC
24 May
San Diego FC
2 : 4
Vancouver Whitecaps
17 May
San Diego FC
3 : 3
FC Cincinnati
14 May
San Diego FC
5 : 0
Austin FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps16103337:1633
2Los Angeles FC18103534:1833
3San Jose Earthquakes17103435:2033
4Real Salt Lake1682628:2426
5Houston Dynamo1682623:2426
6FC Dallas1775532:2526
7St. Louis City1774623:2325
8Seattle Sounders1673619:2024
9Minnesota United1765619:2423
10Portland Timbers1763831:3221
11Los Angeles Galaxy1856724:2921
12San Diego FC1755731:2820
13Colorado Rapids17611026:2519
14Austin FC1745822:3517
15Sporting Kansas City17421118:4414
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC17123233:1239
2Inter Miami17114243:3037
3New England Revolution1692526:1929
4Chicago Fire1682630:2226
5New York City1774630:2325
6Charlotte FC1774628:2525
7FC Cincinnati1765641:4223
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1757524:2722
10Orlando City1762928:4420
11Columbus Crew1754824:2619
12Toronto FC1737723:3116
13CF Montreal17431022:3315
14Philadelphia Union17341022:3113
15Atlanta United17331117:3012
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)