Sport Picks
Security Systems vs BDF XI Prediction & H2H Stats
Botswana
Premier League 2024/2025 Lobatse Stadium, Lobatse 
Match Events
18'
18'
Raditsebe E.
33'
33'
Mazambani
89'
89'
Kwarare B.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2024/2025 game between Security Systems and BDF XI finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BDF XI.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- BDF XI carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Security Systems taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Security Systems Clean Sheet 68%
BDF XI Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Security Systems | BDF XI |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 16 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2025 Premier League
Security Systems vs BDF XI
1:2
Jan 5, 2025 Premier League
BDF XI vs Security Systems
0:1
Apr 21, 2024 Premier League
BDF XI vs Security Systems
0:0
Nov 12, 2023 Premier League
Security Systems vs BDF XI
0:1
Apr 4, 2023 Premier League
BDF XI vs Security Systems
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Security Systems Compare
Top Goalscorer Raditsebe E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
BDF XI Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazambani
1 Goals Assists Leader Kwarare B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Security Systems 50 / 100
BDF XI 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Security Systems BDF XI
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Security Systems Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
BDF XI has conceded goals in 64% of their last 36 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
BDF XI's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Security Systems scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS BDF XI
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Security Systems
(Home) 24 May
Flamingo Santos
3 : 3 Security Systems
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1 Chadibe
14 May
Centre Chiefs
3 : 2 Security Systems
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
16 Apr
Tafic FC
3 : 1 Security Systems
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Security Systems
7 : 1 Chadibe
04 May
Security Systems
0 : 2 Sua Flamingoes
12 Apr
Security Systems
1 : 2 BDF XI
01 Mar
Security Systems
0 : 0 Jwaneng Galaxy
26 Feb
Security Systems
0 : 0 Orapa United
Page 1 of 3
BDF XI
(Away) 11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1 BDF XI
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1 BDF XI
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3 Nico United
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1 BDF XI
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2 Centre Chiefs
Page 1 of 8
11 Sept
Tonota
1 : 1 BDF XI
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1 BDF XI
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1 BDF XI
25 Apr
Extension Gunners
1 : 1 BDF XI
04 Apr
Tafic FC
4 : 0 BDF XI
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaborone Utd | 30 | 20 | 6 | 4 | 56:23 | 66 |
| 2 | Tafic FC | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 51:23 | 60 |
| 3 | Sua Flamingoes | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 63:31 | 59 |
| 4 | Jwaneng Galaxy | 30 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 43:20 | 59 |
| 5 | Centre Chiefs | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 46:20 | 56 |
| 6 | Township Rollers | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 54 |
| 7 | Morupule | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:36 | 42 |
| 8 | Orapa United | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 36:31 | 40 |
| 9 | VTM FC | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 36:33 | 35 |
| 10 | Nico United | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 18:32 | 32 |
| 11 | BDF XI | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:33 | 31 |
| 12 | Matebele | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:45 | 30 |
| 13 | Extension Gunners | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 25:48 | 29 |
| 14 | Security Systems | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 30:45 | 26 |
| 15 | Chadibe | 30 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 19:62 | 16 |
| 16 | Flamingo Santos | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 18:67 | 13 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
