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Segesta vs HNK Zadar

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Kukoc T.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Martinovic V.
84' Event
Vukadinovic A.

AI Match Summary

Segesta in this Druga NL 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Segesta
30%
Draws
12%
HNK Zadar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • HNK Zadar haven't matched Segesta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Segesta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Segesta have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Segesta, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Segesta Clean Sheet 68%
HNK Zadar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Segesta HNK Zadar
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 22 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.55 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2024 Druga NL
HNK Zadar vs Segesta
2:2
Jun 9, 2024 Druga NL
Segesta vs HNK Zadar
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinovic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

HNK Zadar Compare

Top Goalscorer Vukadinovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Segesta 95 / 100
HNK Zadar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Segesta HNK Zadar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Segesta scored in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Segesta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

HNK Zadar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Segesta VS HNK Zadar
3.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Segesta

(Home)
27 Sept
Segesta
1 : 1
Karlovac
18 Sept
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 3
Segesta
12 Sept
Segesta
2 : 1
Dugopolje
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
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HNK Zadar

(Away)
25 Aug
Kustosija
3 : 1
HNK Zadar
01 Aug
Zagora
1 : 0
HNK Zadar
16 Jun
HNK Zadar
2 : 2
Segesta
09 Jun
Segesta
2 : 1
HNK Zadar
10 Feb
HNK Zadar
0 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Slavonija Pozega 1
Uljanik Pula 3
Segesta 4
HNK Zadar 3