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Segesta vs Lucko

Croatia Croatia

Druga NL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Sanogo S.
42' Event
Kukoc T.
54'
Kristo L.

AI Match Summary

Segesta in this Druga NL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Segesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Segesta
30%
Draws
29%
Lucko
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Segesta have won more games recently than Lucko.
  • Win probability leans Segesta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Segesta Clean Sheet 20%
Lucko Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Segesta Lucko
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.69 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.99 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Lucko vs Segesta
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Druga NL
Segesta vs Lucko
4:0
Sep 13, 2025 Druga NL
Lucko vs Segesta
0:2
May 7, 2022 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Lucko
0:2
Oct 30, 2021 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Segesta
9:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Segesta Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanogo S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kukoc T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.99

Lucko Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Segesta 85 / 100
Lucko 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Segesta Lucko

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Segesta scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Lucko's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Segesta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Segesta VS Lucko
3.13 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.86
100% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 43%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Segesta

(Home)
09 Sept
Segesta
3 : 1
Osijek
05 Sept
Sesvete
2 : 0
Segesta
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18
Segesta
Page 1 of 6

Lucko

(Away)
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
01 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Segesta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Segesta 30 21 2 7 58:33 65
2 Kustosija 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Jadran Luka Ploce 30 18 5 7 56:29 59
4 Mladost Zdralovi 30 17 8 5 48:32 59
5 Uljanik Pula 30 16 4 10 53:44 52
6 Uskok Klis 30 14 5 11 48:36 47
7 Radnik Krizevci 30 13 8 9 39:28 47
8 Solin 30 12 9 9 46:43 45
9 Trnje 30 8 7 15 37:48 31
10 Grobnican 30 7 10 13 46:60 31
11 Varteks Varazdin (2011) 30 8 7 15 34:48 31
12 Bjelovar 30 7 8 15 32:46 29
13 Lucko 30 8 5 17 32:46 29
14 Dugo Selo 30 7 8 15 22:43 29
15 Dragovoljac 30 6 10 14 28:49 28
16 Croatia Dakovo 30 7 4 19 30:56 25
Promotion - Prva NL (Main)