Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Segesta vs Vrapce

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Segesta Logo

Segesta

1 - 0
FT
Vrapce Logo

Vrapce

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Segesta and Vrapce finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Segesta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Segesta
30%
Draws
37%
Vrapce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vrapce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Segesta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Segesta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Segesta Clean Sheet 20%
Vrapce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Segesta Vrapce
Matches Played 47 30
Wins 28 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.02 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Vrapce
1:0
Sep 25, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Segesta
3:1
Apr 10, 2021 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Vrapce
3:3
Sep 12, 2020 3. HNL Center
Vrapce vs Segesta
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Segesta 85 / 100
Vrapce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Segesta Vrapce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vrapce conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Segesta scored in 79% of their last 47 games.

Segesta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Segesta VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Segesta

(Home)
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18
Segesta
22 Aug
Segesta
3 : 1
Orijent
14 Aug
Segesta
2 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 10

Vrapce

(Away)
29 Jul
Dubrava Zagreb
1 : 2
Vrapce
28 May
Vrapce
2 : 2
Maksimir
21 May
Mladost Petrinja
0 : 7
Vrapce
18 May
Vrapce
2 : 1
Lucko
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)