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Segesta vs Vrbovec

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Segesta Logo

Segesta

1 - 1
FT
Vrbovec Logo

Vrbovec

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Segesta and Vrbovec finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Segesta
20%
Draws
33%
Vrbovec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Segesta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vrbovec haven't matched Segesta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Segesta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Segesta Clean Sheet 10%
Vrbovec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Segesta Vrbovec
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.76 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Vrbovec
1:1
Sep 4, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Segesta
4:1
May 5, 2021 3. HNL Center
Vrbovec vs Segesta
3:0
Oct 10, 2020 3. HNL Center
Segesta vs Vrbovec
2:0
Mar 2, 2002 Prva NL
Segesta vs Vrbovec
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Segesta 83 / 100
Vrbovec 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Segesta Vrbovec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Segesta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Segesta found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Vrbovec has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Segesta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Segesta VS Vrbovec
2.38 Goals Scored 4
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Segesta

(Home)
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
28 Aug
Vukovar 1991
2 : 0
Segesta
25 Aug
Slatina
0 : 18
Segesta
22 Aug
Segesta
3 : 1
Orijent
14 Aug
Segesta
2 : 0
Dubrava Zagreb
Page 1 of 6

Vrbovec

(Away)
26 Aug
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Daruvar
28 May
Kurilovec
3 : 1
Vrbovec
21 May
Vrbovec
1 : 1
Gaj Mace
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Dugo Selo
2 : 0
Vrbovec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)