Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sejong SA vs Geumsan Insam Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
Sejong SA Logo

Sejong SA

3 - 2
FT
Geumsan Insam Logo

Geumsan Insam

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Sejong SA and Geumsan Insam finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sejong SA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sejong SA
20%
Draws
50%
Geumsan Insam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Geumsan Insam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sejong SA come out ahead of Geumsan Insam on wins alone.
  • Geumsan Insam are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sejong SA Clean Sheet 10%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sejong SA Geumsan Insam
Matches Played 25 22
Wins 10 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K4 League
Sejong SA vs Geumsan Insam
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sejong SA 10 / 100
Geumsan Insam 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sejong SA Geumsan Insam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geumsan Insam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Sejong SA scored in 64% of their last 25 outings.

Geumsan Insam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 22 matches.

Solid form: Sejong SA remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sejong SA VS Geumsan Insam
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sejong SA

(Home)
04 Oct
Pyeongtaek Citizen
7 : 1
Sejong SA
12 Sept
Sejong SA
0 : 4
Jinju Citizen
06 Sept
Sejong SA
2 : 1
Seosan Pioneer
30 Aug
Sejong SA
0 : 5
Seoul Jungnang
23 Aug
Jecheon Citizen
5 : 4
Sejong SA
Page 1 of 5

Geumsan Insam

(Away)
13 Sept
Gijang United
3 : 1
Geumsan Insam
05 Sept
Geumsan Insam
0 : 0
Pyeongtaek Citizen
30 Aug
Geumsan Insam
1 : 1
Jinju Citizen
23 Aug
Seosan Pioneer
0 : 3
Geumsan Insam
25 Jul
Geumsan Insam
1 : 3
Seoul Jungnang
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jinju Citizen 21 16 3 2 50:16 51
2 Jincheon 21 12 5 4 42:20 41
3 Namyangju 22 11 6 5 32:27 39
4 Seoul Jungnang 21 10 4 7 38:27 34
5 Geumsan Insam 21 8 8 5 33:25 32
6 Jecheon Citizen 22 8 7 7 29:32 31
7 Geoje 19 8 4 7 33:26 28
8 Pyeongchang United 21 8 3 10 28:32 27
9 Gijang United 21 8 2 11 29:38 26
10 Sejong SA 21 8 2 11 30:47 26
11 Haman 20 6 2 12 23:35 20
12 Pyeongtaek Citizen 21 3 5 13 27:45 14
13 Seosan Pioneer 21 4 1 16 23:47 13
Promotion - K3 League 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K4 League (Promotion - Play Offs)