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Sejong SA vs Geumsan Insam

South Korea South Korea

K4 League
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AI Match Summary

The K4 League game between Sejong SA and Geumsan Insam finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sejong SA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Sejong SA
22%
Draws
18%
Geumsan Insam
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sejong SA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sejong SA come out ahead of Geumsan Insam on wins alone.
  • Sejong SA are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular K4 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sejong SA Clean Sheet 11%
Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sejong SA Geumsan Insam
Matches Played 19 17
Wins 9 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K4 League
Sejong SA vs Geumsan Insam
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sejong SA 56 / 100
Geumsan Insam 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sejong SA Geumsan Insam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEJ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geumsan Insam has conceded goals in 82% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Sejong SA's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Solid form: Sejong SA remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sejong SA VS Geumsan Insam
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jinju Citizen15131138:1240
2Jincheon1694331:1531
3Geumsan Insam1676327:1827
4Seoul Jungnang1674527:1925
5Jecheon Citizen1666417:1924
6Namyangju1665520:2023
7Sejong SA1572623:2423
8Geoje1563629:2221
9Pyeongchang United1662820:2420
10Gijang United1652919:2917
11Haman16421016:2814
12Seosan Pioneer15401120:3612
13Pyeongtaek Citizen16231116:379