Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup 2025

Ulsan Citizen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sejong SA play Ulsan Citizen in the Korean Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sejong SA averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Ulsan Citizen averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Sejong SA won 1, Ulsan Citizen won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 9, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Sejong SA and 1.13 for Ulsan Citizen. This points to a Sejong SA double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Sejong SA

19%

Draws

30%

Ulsan Citizen

Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Sejong SA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Sejong SA picked up more points recently compared to Ulsan Citizen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Sejong SA Clean Sheet 21%

Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sejong SA	Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played	18	30
Wins	8	9
Draws	2	7
Losses	8	14
Goals Scored	1.44	0.87
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Korean Cup

Sejong SA vs Ulsan Citizen

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sejong SA 50 / 100

Ulsan Citizen 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sejong SA Ulsan Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sejong SA or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sejong SA attacking → ← attacking Ulsan Citizen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sejong SA scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

Ulsan Citizen let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sejong SA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ulsan Citizen lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 34

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00