Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Selangor vs Buriram United F.C.

Asia Asia

ASEAN Club Championship 2025/2026 MBPJ Stadium, Petaling Jaya
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Mueanta S.
Assist: Bunmathan T.
35'
Boumous H.
35'
Bunmathan T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Buriram United F.C. advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Selangor
22%
Draws
18%
Buriram United F.C.
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Selangor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Buriram United F.C. come out ahead of Selangor on wins alone.
  • Model gives Selangor a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Buriram United F.C. arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Buriram United F.C., who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Buriram United F.C. have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Selangor Clean Sheet 20%
Buriram United F.C. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selangor Buriram United F.C.
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 21
Draws 7 3
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Buriram United F.C. vs Selangor
2:1
May 20, 2026 ASEAN Club Championship
Selangor vs Buriram United F.C.
0:1
Aug 20, 2025 ASEAN Club Championship
Buriram United F.C. vs Selangor
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selangor Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Buriram United F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Mueanta S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selangor 58 / 100
Buriram United F.C. 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selangor Buriram United F.C.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Selangor scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Selangor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Buriram United F.C. conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Selangor VS Buriram United F.C.
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Selangor

(Home)
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Selangor
6 : 0
PDRM FC
13 May
Nam Dinh
0 : 2
Selangor
06 May
Selangor
2 : 1
Nam Dinh
Page 1 of 7

Buriram United F.C.

(Away)
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
27 May
Buriram United F.C.
2 : 1
Selangor
20 May
Selangor
0 : 1
Buriram United F.C.
17 May
Buriram United F.C.
5 : 0
Ayutthaya United
13 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 2
Johor DT
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Selangor4
Nam Dinh1
Johor DT3
Buriram United F.C.4
Final
Selangor1
Buriram United F.C.3