Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Selaya vs Naval Reinosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Logaldo T.
25' Event
Simion A.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Serna S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Selaya and Naval Reinosa finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Selaya
20%
Draws
10%
Naval Reinosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Naval Reinosa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Selaya taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Selaya Clean Sheet 68%
Naval Reinosa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selaya Naval Reinosa
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.02 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Naval Reinosa
3:2
Jan 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs Naval Reinosa
1:1
Sep 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Naval Reinosa vs Selaya
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Serna S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simion A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 1.01

Naval Reinosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Logaldo T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Urresti Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selaya 95 / 100
Naval Reinosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selaya Naval Reinosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naval Reinosa conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Selaya has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Naval Reinosa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Selaya VS Naval Reinosa
1.88 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.17
100% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Selaya

(Home)
04 Oct
Selaya
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 6

Naval Reinosa

(Away)
10 Oct
Naval Reinosa
2 : 2
Solares
04 Oct
Selaya
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
26 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 4
CD Laredo
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
13 Sept
Naval Reinosa
0 : 3
Torina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 6 6 0 0 13:3 18
2 Bezana 6 5 1 0 12:4 16
3 CD Laredo 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
4 UD Samano 6 3 2 1 14:6 11
5 CD Revilla 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
6 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
7 Vimenor 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
8 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 6 2 0 4 5:13 6
11 Guarnizo 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
12 Solares 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
13 Castro 6 1 2 3 6:10 5
14 UM Escobedo 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
15 Atletico Albericia 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
16 Velarde 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
17 Naval Reinosa 6 0 2 4 6:15 2
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)