Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Selaya

3 - 0

SD Noja

Our Tip

Match Events

Verdu S.

21'

Manteca A.

45'

Simion A.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Selaya and SD Noja finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Selaya

Draws

SD Noja

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Selaya carry the better recent record into this one.
Selaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 5 times recently and SD Noja have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%

Selaya Clean Sheet 68%

SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Selaya	SD Noja
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	4
Draws	7	5
Losses	17	21
Goals Scored	1.38	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Selaya vs SD Noja

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Nov 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs Selaya

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Mar 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Selaya vs SD Noja

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Nov 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs Selaya

Possession: 52% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Mar 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs Selaya

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 2 - 2

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Verdu S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Manteca A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selaya 95 / 100

SD Noja 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Selaya SD Noja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SD Noja conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Selaya has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

SD Noja's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Selaya VS SD Noja

1.38 Goals Scored 0.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19