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Selaya vs UM Escobedo

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Manteca A.
14' Event
Serrera P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between Selaya and UM Escobedo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Selaya
28%
Draws
22%
UM Escobedo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UM Escobedo come out ahead of Selaya on wins alone.
  • Selaya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Selaya Clean Sheet 68%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selaya UM Escobedo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 2
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs UM Escobedo
2:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Selaya
3:1
Jan 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Selaya
2:0
Oct 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs UM Escobedo
1:1
Aug 29, 2021 Club Friendly
UM Escobedo vs Selaya
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Manteca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serrera P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

UM Escobedo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selaya 59 / 100
UM Escobedo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selaya UM Escobedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selaya went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

UM Escobedo let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Selaya found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Selaya VS UM Escobedo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Selaya

(Home)
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4
Selaya
03 May
Selaya
1 : 1
CD Laredo
26 Apr
Bezana
1 : 2
Selaya
18 Apr
Selaya
2 : 0
Torina
12 Apr
CD Barquereno
2 : 2
Selaya
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UM Escobedo

(Away)
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0
CD Laredo
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7
UM Escobedo
03 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 2
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 0
Vimenor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)