Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Selbak vs Nesodden

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nesodden in this Division 3 - Group 1 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesodden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Selbak
20%
Draws
48%
Nesodden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nesodden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nesodden have won more games recently than Selbak.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Selbak taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nesodden here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Selbak Clean Sheet 10%
Nesodden Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selbak Nesodden
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 0 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 30 17
Goals Scored 0.88 1.9
Goals Conceded 4.03 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2015 Division 3 - Group 1
Selbak vs Nesodden
1:6
May 23, 2015 Division 3 - Group 1
Nesodden vs Selbak
4:1
Aug 23, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Selbak vs Nesodden
1:4
May 10, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Nesodden vs Selbak
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selbak 34 / 100
Nesodden 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selbak Nesodden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nesodden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.75 goals.

Selbak found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Nesodden's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Selbak VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Selbak

(Home)
27 Oct
Lorenskog
8 : 0
Selbak
20 Oct
Selbak
2 : 2
Lillestrom 2
13 Oct
Skjetten
3 : 0
Selbak
06 Oct
Selbak
0 : 5
Vestfossen
29 Sept
Ostsiden
2 : 2
Selbak
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Nesodden

(Away)
13 Apr
Nesodden
0 : 6
Moss
24 Oct
Nesodden
1 : 5
Grorud 2
17 Oct
Trosvik
2 : 3
Nesodden
12 Oct
Nesodden
0 : 1
Skeid 2
05 Oct
Follo 2
8 : 1
Nesodden
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