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Selbak vs Sarpsborg 08 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2015 game between Selbak and Sarpsborg 08 2 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarpsborg 08 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Selbak
30%
Draws
61%
Sarpsborg 08 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarpsborg 08 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Sarpsborg 08 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sarpsborg 08 2 have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Selbak Clean Sheet 17%
Sarpsborg 08 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selbak Sarpsborg 08 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0.87 2.03
Goals Conceded 3.97 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2015 Division 3 - Group 1
Selbak vs Sarpsborg 08 2
0:5
Jun 8, 2015 Division 3 - Group 1
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Selbak
6:0
Sep 8, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Sarpsborg 08 2 vs Selbak
2:3
May 26, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Selbak vs Sarpsborg 08 2
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selbak 10 / 100
Sarpsborg 08 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selbak Sarpsborg 08 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarpsborg 08 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sarpsborg 08 2 conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Selbak scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Selbak stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarpsborg 08 2
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Selbak

(Home)
27 Oct
Lorenskog
8 : 0
Selbak
20 Oct
Selbak
2 : 2
Lillestrom 2
13 Oct
Skjetten
3 : 0
Selbak
06 Oct
Selbak
0 : 5
Vestfossen
29 Sept
Ostsiden
2 : 2
Selbak
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Sarpsborg 08 2

(Away)
26 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Gjovik-Lyn
21 Sept
Lyn 2
2 : 2
Sarpsborg 08 2
12 Sept
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 1
Lillehammer
07 Sept
Orn
3 : 4
Sarpsborg 08 2
31 Aug
Sarpsborg 08 2
3 : 2
Rade
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