Sport Picks

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Selfoss vs Fjolnir

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sigursteinsson A.
24' Event
Hafthorsson V.
31' Event
Kjartansson V.

AI Match Summary

Selfoss in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Selfoss
15%
Draws
31%
Fjolnir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Selfoss lately — more wins on the board than Fjolnir.
  • Selfoss are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.6%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%
Fjolnir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Fjolnir
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2.32 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.71 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Fjolnir
6:2
Jun 6, 2026 Division 2
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 Division 1
Selfoss vs Fjolnir
1:2
Jun 9, 2025 Division 1
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
0:2
Apr 23, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjartansson V.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdsson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Fjolnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Sigursteinsson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hafthorsson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 83 / 100
Fjolnir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Fjolnir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Fjolnir has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Selfoss has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS Fjolnir
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
29 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 1
Dalvik/Reynir
25 Jul
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 5
Selfoss
Page 1 of 6

Fjolnir

(Away)
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Olafsvik
2 : 2
Fjolnir
24 Jul
Fjolnir
2 : 1
Haukar
18 Jul
Magni
5 : 2
Fjolnir
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 18 13 2 3 45:23 41
2 Selfoss 18 9 6 3 42:33 33
3 Kari 18 7 9 2 47:29 30
4 Olafsvik 18 8 4 6 26:30 28
5 Fjolnir 18 7 4 7 43:40 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 18 6 6 6 35:26 24
7 KFA 18 7 2 9 40:36 23
8 Dalvik/Reynir 18 6 4 8 26:29 22
9 Magni 18 6 4 8 31:43 22
10 Throttur Vogar 18 6 1 11 29:35 19
11 Hviti 18 3 7 8 21:37 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 18 5 1 12 29:53 16
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)