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Selfoss vs KFA

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Omarsson G.
14' Event
El Resak J.
41' Event
Bodvarsson J.

AI Match Summary

KFA in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored KFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Selfoss
15%
Draws
32%
KFA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Selfoss lately — more wins on the board than KFA.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Selfoss have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 14%
KFA Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss KFA
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.36 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Division 2
KFA vs Selfoss
0:1
May 2, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs KFA
2:4
Sep 27, 2024 Fotbolti.net Cup
Selfoss vs KFA
3:1
Jul 27, 2024 Division 2
KFA vs Selfoss
0:1
May 18, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs KFA
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Bodvarsson J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vokes A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

KFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarsson G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader El Resak J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 75 / 100
KFA 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss KFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

KFA let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Selfoss remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS KFA
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2
Kari
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
29 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 1
Dalvik/Reynir
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KFA

(Away)
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
15 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
3 : 4
KFA
08 Aug
KFA
1 : 2
Haukar
04 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 1
KFA
29 Jul
Magni
3 : 0
KFA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 18 13 2 3 45:23 41
2 Selfoss 18 9 6 3 42:33 33
3 Kari 18 7 9 2 47:29 30
4 Olafsvik 18 8 4 6 26:30 28
5 Fjolnir 18 7 4 7 43:40 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 18 6 6 6 35:26 24
7 KFA 18 7 2 9 40:36 23
8 Dalvik/Reynir 18 6 4 8 26:29 22
9 Magni 18 6 4 8 31:43 22
10 Throttur Vogar 18 6 1 11 29:35 19
11 Hviti 18 3 7 8 21:37 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 18 5 1 12 29:53 16
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)