Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Birgisson A.
67' Event
Diaz G.
71' Event
Bodvarsson J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Selfoss and Kormakur/Hvot finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Selfoss
15%
Draws
32%
Kormakur/Hvot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Selfoss come out ahead of Kormakur/Hvot on wins alone.
  • Model gives Selfoss a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Selfoss here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 17%
Kormakur/Hvot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Kormakur/Hvot
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Selfoss
2:5
May 16, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot
2:1
Jul 13, 2024 Division 2
Kormakur/Hvot vs Selfoss
0:2
May 4, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot
1:0
Apr 28, 2017 Icelandic Cup
Selfoss vs Kormakur/Hvot
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Birgisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bodvarsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kormakur/Hvot Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 84 / 100
Kormakur/Hvot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Kormakur/Hvot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Kormakur/Hvot has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Selfoss went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS Kormakur/Hvot
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2
Kari
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
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Kormakur/Hvot

(Away)
22 Aug
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
19 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
1 : 2
Haukar
15 Aug
Magni
3 : 0
Kormakur/Hvot
09 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
04 Aug
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 1
KFA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 19 14 2 3 50:25 44
2 Selfoss 19 10 6 3 45:34 36
3 Kari 19 8 9 2 48:29 33
4 Olafsvik 19 8 4 7 27:33 28
5 KFA 19 8 2 9 46:36 26
6 Fjolnir 19 7 4 8 43:41 25
7 Magni 19 7 4 8 34:44 25
8 Kormakur/Hvot 19 6 6 7 35:30 24
9 Dalvik/Reynir 19 6 4 9 28:34 22
10 Throttur Vogar 19 6 1 12 30:38 19
11 KFG Gardabaer 19 6 1 12 33:53 19
12 Hviti 19 3 7 9 21:43 16
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