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Selkirk vs Vale Of Leithen

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2018/2019
Sat, Jan 12, 2019
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Selkirk play Vale Of Leithen in the Lowland League 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Selkirk averaged 0 goals scored and 7.67 conceded. Vale Of Leithen averaged 0.44 goals scored and 4.66 conceded. In past meetings, Selkirk won 2, Vale Of Leithen won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jan 12, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.73 for Selkirk and 0.74 for Vale Of Leithen. This points to a Vale Of Leithen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Selkirk
24%
Draws
38%
Vale Of Leithen
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Vale Of Leithen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Selkirk picked up more points recently compared to Vale Of Leithen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.73 vs 0.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
Selkirk Clean Sheet 27%
Vale Of Leithen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selkirk Vale Of Leithen
Matches Played 3 32
Wins 0 2
Draws 0 3
Losses 3 27
Goals Scored 0 0.44
Goals Conceded 7.67 4.66

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2019 Lowland League
Selkirk vs Vale Of Leithen
0:0
Nov 17, 2018 Lowland League
Vale Of Leithen vs Selkirk
0:0
Apr 25, 2018 Lowland League
Selkirk vs Vale Of Leithen
1:1
Oct 7, 2017 Lowland League
Vale Of Leithen vs Selkirk
1:3
Dec 31, 2016 Lowland League
Selkirk vs Vale Of Leithen
6:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selkirk 40 / 100
Vale Of Leithen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selkirk Vale Of Leithen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vale Of Leithen or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Selkirk attacking → ← attacking Vale Of Leithen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selkirk scored in 0% of their last 3 games.

Vale Of Leithen let in goals in 94% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Selkirk went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Vale Of Leithen lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 9
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1East Kilbride28233266:1272
2Broomhill28187367:2961
3Kelty Hearts28166661:3254
4Spartans28149563:3151
5Civil Service Strollers28154951:3849
6East Stirlingshire281161157:4739
7Cumbernauld Colts281161140:4739
8Gala Fairydean Rovers281041443:4834
9Caledonian Braves28961343:5233
10Stirling University287101143:5031
11Edinburgh University28791238:5430
12Gretna 200828921742:6729
13Vale Of Leithen28851543:7429
14Dalbeattie Star28571633:6322
15Whitehill Welfare28262024:7012
16Selkirk00000:00