Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sellana vs Elassona Prediction & H2H Stats

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021
Sun, Feb 14, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sellana host Elassona in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Elassona have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Sellana have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.07. Head-to-head, Sellana have won 1 to Elassona's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2021, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.18, favoring Elassona. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sellana
20%
Draws
51%
Elassona
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elassona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Sellana haven't matched Elassona's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sellana's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sellana Clean Sheet 20%
Elassona Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sellana Elassona
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 1 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Elassona vs Sellana
0:1
Feb 14, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Sellana vs Elassona
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sellana 67 / 100
Elassona 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sellana Elassona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sellana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elassona let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Sellana scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Sellana remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Elassona
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sellana

(Home)
06 Jun
Kozani FC
1 : 0
Sellana
30 May
Sellana
5 : 0
Dias Diou FC
23 May
Sellana
0 : 1
Ethnikos Neou
16 May
Atromitos Palamas
1 : 0
Sellana
12 May
Oikonomos
2 : 2
Sellana
Page 1 of 3

Elassona

(Away)
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
13 May
Elassona
0 : 0
Apollon Kalamaria
10 May
Panthrakikos
5 : 1
Elassona
03 May
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 2
Elassona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karditsa 14 12 2 0 40:5 38
2 Karitsa 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
3 Ethnikos Neou 14 8 1 5 16:17 25
4 Aetos Makrychoriou 14 7 3 4 24:11 24
5 Kozani FC 14 6 5 3 17:15 23
6 Atromitos Palamas 14 6 4 4 17:14 22
7 AE Iraklis Larissa 14 6 2 6 23:15 20
8 Fikis 14 6 2 6 22:17 20
9 Elassona 14 5 4 5 16:16 19
10 Sellana 14 5 1 8 15:15 16
11 Dias Diou FC 14 3 4 7 11:23 13
12 Ermis Amyntaio 14 3 3 8 12:36 12
13 Meteora 14 2 4 8 11:24 10
14 Oikonomos 14 2 3 9 14:29 9
15 Makedonikos Foufas 14 3 0 11 12:34 9
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)