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Selsey W vs Keynsham Town W

England England

Women's National League South 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Selsey W play Keynsham Town W in the Women's National League South 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Selsey W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. Keynsham Town W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. In past meetings, Selsey W won 1, Keynsham Town W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 13, 2022 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.26 for Selsey W and 1.67 for Keynsham Town W. This points to a Keynsham Town W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Selsey W
15%
Draws
46%
Keynsham Town W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keynsham Town W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Selsey W picked up more points recently compared to Keynsham Town W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.26 vs 1.67 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Selsey W Clean Sheet 13%
Keynsham Town W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selsey W Keynsham Town W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 1
Losses 19 20
Goals Scored 1.2 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.63 3.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.14 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2022 Women's National League South
Selsey W vs Keynsham Town W
3:1
Sep 26, 2021 Women's National League South
Keynsham Town W vs Selsey W
2:1
Oct 11, 2020 Women's National League South
Selsey W vs Keynsham Town W
2:3
Oct 27, 2019 Women's National League South
Keynsham Town W vs Selsey W
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selsey W 38 / 100
Keynsham Town W 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selsey W Keynsham Town W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Keynsham Town W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.7%
1.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Selsey W attacking → ← attacking Keynsham Town W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selsey W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Keynsham Town W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Selsey W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Keynsham Town W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 28
2.14 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.38