Sport Picks
Semen Padang vs Persebaya
Indonesia
Super League 2025/2026 Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim, Padang 
Match Events
16'
16'
Rivera F.
Assist: Raickovic M.
19'
19'
Catur A.
Assist: Rivera F.
41'
41'
Guillermo
AI Match Summary
The Super League 2025/2026 game between Semen Padang and Persebaya finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Persebaya.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Persebaya
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Persebaya carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Persebaya a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Semen Padang Clean Sheet 10%
Persebaya Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Semen Padang | Persebaya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.66 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.33 | 2.45 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Super League
Semen Padang vs Persebaya
0:7
Sep 19, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Semen Padang
1:0
May 11, 2025 Super League
Persebaya vs Semen Padang
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Super League
Semen Padang vs Persebaya
0:0
Nov 28, 2019 Super League
Persebaya vs Semen Padang
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Semen Padang Compare
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17
Persebaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruno Paraiba
2 Goals Assists Leader Rivera F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.23
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Semen Padang 10 / 100
Persebaya 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Semen Padang Persebaya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Persebaya Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Semen Padang found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Persebaya conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.
Semen Padang has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Semen Padang VS Persebaya
0.29 Goals Scored 2.75
2.14 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Semen Padang
(Home) 20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
13 Sept
Persiraja Aceh
0 : 1 Semen Padang
23 May
Persija Jakarta
3 : 0 Semen Padang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7 Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3 Persik Kediri
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Semen Padang
1 : 1 PSIS Semarang
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7 Persebaya
08 May
Semen Padang
0 : 3 Persik Kediri
29 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 1 Madura United
20 Apr
Semen Padang
0 : 2 Persijap Jepara
Page 1 of 3
Persebaya
(Away) 19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1 Garudayaksa
13 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSIM Yogyakarta
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1 Persebaya
15 Aug
Persebaya
1 : 0 Penang
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2 Persebaya
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
FC Bhayangkara
1 : 1 Persebaya
06 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 2 Persebaya
15 May
Semen Padang
0 : 7 Persebaya
09 May
Persis Solo
0 : 0 Persebaya
28 Apr
Arema FC
0 : 4 Persebaya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Persib Bandung | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Borneo | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 74:31 | 79 |
| 3 | Persija Jakarta | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 65:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Persebaya | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 61:35 | 58 |
| 5 | FC Bhayangkara | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 53:45 | 53 |
| 6 | Java United | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 68:53 | 53 |
| 7 | Dewa United | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 44:37 | 53 |
| 8 | Bali United | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Arema FC | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:47 | 48 |
| 10 | Persita | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 38:37 | 45 |
| 11 | PSIM Yogyakarta | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 43:44 | 45 |
| 12 | Persik Kediri | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 42:61 | 39 |
| 13 | Persijap Jepara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31:45 | 36 |
| 14 | Madura United | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 37:54 | 35 |
| 15 | PSM Makassar | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 34 |
| 16 | Persis Solo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:59 | 34 |
| 17 | Semen Padang | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 22:65 | 20 |
| 18 | PSBS Biak Numfor | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31:95 | 18 |
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